Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency: Difference between revisions

 

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Opinion polling on the presidency of Karol Nawrocki

Karol Nawrocki was elected to the office of President of Poland in the 2025 presidential election,[1] and inaugurated on 6 August 2025.[2] Throughout Nawrocki’s presidency, several polling agencies conducted opinion polls researching support for issues regarding Nawrocki’s presidency.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Neither Don’t know/Neutral Net approval
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 54 26 20 28
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 51.6 38.0 10.4 13.6
13–15 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 57.5 32.9 9.6 24.6
2–9 Sep 2025 OGB 1,000 47.5 33.2 19.3 14.3
2–3 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 830 42.9 32.2 24.9 10.7
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 45.2 44.8 10.0 0.4
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 44 30 26 14
6–13 Aug 2025 OGB 1,000 41.7 32.7 25.6 9.0

Will Nawrocki be a good president?

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Good Decent Bad Don’t know/Neutral Net approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 53 33 14 20
29–30 Jul 2025 SW Research / Rz 800 33.8 27.0 29.6 9.6 4.2

Will Nawrocki be a better president than Andrzej Duda?

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Yes No Don’t know/Neutral Net approval
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 49 27 22
13–16 Aug 2025 IBRiS / WP.pl 1,000 47.1 25.2 26.7 21.9

[edit]

A Pollster poll for Super Express conducted on 9–11 August 2025 found that 41% of Poles approved of Nawrocki’s first decisions as President while 30% disapproved.[3]

An IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 showed the 4th largest amount of respondents — 10.5% — ranked Nawrocki as the most effective politician, with him falling behind Donald Tusk (PO) — 28.1%, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) — 23.5% and Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) — 11.3%.[4]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 2–3 September 2025 asked to assign a school grade for Nawrocki’s performance after a month of his Presidency. From 1 (worst) to 6 (best), 21.9% of respondents gave Nawrocki a 1, 2 — 13.3% , 3 — 9.3%, 4 — 16.4%, 5 — 15.5%, 6 — 13.1%, with 10.5% undecided.[5]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Trust Distrust Indifferent Don’t know/Neutral Net trust
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 58 25 12 5 33
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 48.8 40.6 10.6 0.0 8.2
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 52 31 12 5 21
20–21 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 41.3 48.0 10.3 0.4 –6.7
25–27 Jul 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 46.8 46.2 6.6 0.4 0.6
3–13 Jul 2025 CBOS 970 48 36 9 6 12
23–24 Jun 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 41.9 46.3 11.4 0.4 –4.4
5–15 Jun 2025 CBOS 971 46 36 12 6 10

Legislative proposals

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Law proposed by Question Yes or
Approve
No or
Disapprove
Neither Don’t know/Neutral Lead
9–10 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 828 President Do you support the efforts of president Karol Nawrocki in attaining World War II reparations from Germany? 54.0 26.8 19.2 27.2
Sep 2025 SW Research / Wprost President (Should Poland seek World War II reparations from Germany?)[a] 55.2 25.4 19.4 29.4
Aug 2025 SW Research / Wprost Ruling coalition How do you rate the presidential veto regarding the wind turbine bill? 38.6 38.2 23.2 0.4
26–27 Aug 2025 SW Research / Onet 814 Ruling coalition Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the law about aiding the citizens of Ukraine? 59.8 25.4 14.7 34.4
SW Research / Onet Ruling coalition Do you support the decision of president Karol Nawrocki to veto the wind turbine law, despite it including a provision regarding freezing energy prices? 36.4 39.1 24.6 –2.7
13–14 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,067 Ruling coalition Should the president sign the law liberalizing the rules of investing in wind turbines, which simultaneously extends the price freeze period on energy for households until the end of the year? 55.8 33.9 10.3 21.9
IBRiS / Rz President Do you agree with the proposition of president Karol Nawrocki, that a parent with two children, whose annual income does not cross 140,000 PLN, should not pay income tax? 47.5 47.9 4.6 –0.4

Welfare for Ukrainian refugees

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Question Only Ukrainians
working in Poland
All
Ukrainians
No
Ukrainians
Neither/
Other option
Don’t know/Neutral
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 Do you believe that currently, [Ukrainians] should have access to [free 800+ and healthcare?] 58 8 25[b]
Sep 2025 SW Research / Wprost Should 800+ only be given to only Ukrainians which work in Poland? 56.4 18.0 19.6 6.0
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025 Pollster / “SE.pl” 1,000 Should Ukrainians living in Poland receive 800+ for children? 54 11 29 6
28 Aug–1 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 [should] Payouts of benefits for foreigners such as 800+ in Poland, including Ukrainians, be dedicated to only those that are employed[?] 69.9 21.8 8.3

[edit]

A SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 26–27 August 2025 found that if an energy price freeze period extension failed to pass before its expiration, 31.8% would blame Nawrocki for energy price rises, 31.6% would blame Tusk’s government and 26.8% would blame both.[6]

Who should be responsible for contacts with the Trump administration?

[edit]

Whose actions in foreign affairs bring Poland more benefits?

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size President Karol Nawrocki Government Both Neither Don’t know/Neutral
9–10 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,067 31.4 27.9 16.1 11.3 13.2

[edit]

According to a SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita conducted on 19–20 August 2025, 24.9% of respondents believed Nawrocki and his chancellery to be responsible for the lack of a Polish delegation at the August 2025 European-White House crisis meeting, 23.7% found Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his government responsible, 25.5% found both sides responsible, 11.2% found noone responsible and 14.7% had no opinion.[7]

Constitutional reform

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Issue For Against Don’t know/Neutral
1–3 Sep 2025 Opinia24 1,003 Empowering presidency 30 52[c] 18
29–30 Aug 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,069 Empowering presidency 39.5 50.5 10

Will Nawrocki be an independent president?

[edit]

Who is the true leader of the Law and Justice camp now?

[edit]

Who is winning the political battle between the President and Prime Minister?

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size President Karol Nawrocki PM Donald Tusk Neither Don’t know/Neutral Lead
30 Aug–1 Sep 2025 Pollster / “SE.pl” 1,000 42 22 20 16 20

How do you rate the relations of the President and Prime Minister?

[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/Link Sample size Good Bad Don’t know/Neutral Lead
11–12 Oct 2025 Pollster / “SE.pl” 1,002 20 80 –60

Other ungrouped polls

[edit]

A United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted on 13–16 August 2025 found that 37.5% of Poles believed Nawrocki would fulfill his electoral campaign promises, while 50.7% believed otherwise.[8]

A Opinia24 poll for RMF FM conducted on 1–3 September 2025 found that 23% of Poles believed Tusk should stand down in the conflict between the president and government, 21% believed Nawrocki should stand down, and 38% believed both should compromise.[9]

  1. ^ Question wording unknown
  2. ^ Only refugees
  3. ^ 36 — against changes, 16 — for weakening the presidency
  1. ^ Rogalski, Michał; Bałuka, Mateusz (1 June 2025). “Wybory prezydenckie 2025: Karol Nawrocki wygrywa II turę. Tak wyglądała wyborcza noc z danymi”. Onet. Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  2. ^ Tomasik, Michał; Żelazińska, Aleksandra (6 August 2025). “Karol Nawrocki zaprzysiężony, przejął zwierzchnictwo nad armią. Tusk: Kaczyński się nie cieszył”. Polityka. Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  3. ^ Brzozowski, Adam (22 August 2025). “Polacy ocenili pierwsze decyzje prezydenta Nawrockiego. Wynik jest jednoznaczny”. Super Express. Retrieved 2025-08-26.
  4. ^ Czmiel, Mateusz (2 September 2025). “To on jest liderem. Polacy wskazali najskuteczniejszego polityka”. Wirtualna Polska. Retrieved 2025-09-02.
  5. ^ Bartkiewicz, Artur (6 September 2025). “Sondaż: Jaką ocenę wystawiają Polacy Karolowi Nawrockiemu po miesiącu prezydentury?”. Rzeczpospolita. Retrieved 2025-09-06.
  6. ^ Bartkiewicz, Artur (30 August 2025). “Sondaż: Prezydent Karol Nawrocki czy rząd Donalda Tuska? Kto będzie odpowiedzialny, jeśli ceny prądu wzrosną?”. Rzeczpospolita. Retrieved 2025-08-30.
  7. ^ Bartkiewicz, Artur (22 August 2025). “Sondaż: Polska nieobecna w Białym Domu. Kto, zdaniem Polaków, za to odpowiada?”. Rzeczpospolita. Retrieved 2025-08-27.
  8. ^ Zubel, Maciej (7 September 2025). “Nawrocki spełni obietnice? Polacy ocenili w sondażu WP”. Wirtualna Polska. Retrieved 2025-09-07.
  9. ^ Pajączek, Katarzyna (8 September 2025). “Polacy podzieleni w sporze Nawrocki kontra Tusk. Kto powinien ustąpić? Sondaż RMF FM”. RMF FM. Retrieved 2025-09-08.

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